Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.003470 0.003643 0.003820 0.004016 0.004225 0.004442 0.004686
2025-04-27 0.003211 0.003474 0.003755 0.004077 0.004438 0.004832 0.005296
2025-05-04 0.002987 0.003296 0.003635 0.004035 0.004497 0.005018 0.005654
2025-05-11 0.002825 0.003166 0.003547 0.004008 0.004555 0.005189 0.005985
2025-05-18 0.002689 0.003053 0.003467 0.003978 0.004598 0.005332 0.006281
2025-05-25 0.002626 0.003018 0.003472 0.004043 0.004750 0.005608 0.006746
2025-06-01 0.002531 0.002938 0.003418 0.004030 0.004801 0.005757 0.007054
2025-06-08 0.002436 0.002854 0.003352 0.003996 0.004823 0.005865 0.007310
2025-06-15 0.002335 0.002757 0.003265 0.003931 0.004797 0.005907 0.007476
2025-06-22 0.002248 0.002673 0.003190 0.003876 0.004781 0.005959 0.007653
2025-06-29 0.002193 0.002627 0.003161 0.003879 0.004837 0.006106 0.007968
2025-07-06 0.002090 0.002516 0.003045 0.003762 0.004729 0.006024 0.007952
2025-07-13 0.002045 0.002480 0.003024 0.003769 0.004790 0.006178 0.008285
2025-07-20 0.002023 0.002472 0.003039 0.003827 0.004920 0.006434 0.008781
2025-07-27 0.001964 0.002413 0.002986 0.003788 0.004914 0.006495 0.008986
2025-08-03 0.001915 0.002365 0.002945 0.003763 0.004927 0.006581 0.009234
2025-08-10 0.001867 0.002318 0.002902 0.003736 0.004933 0.006657 0.009467
2025-08-17 0.001854 0.002317 0.002922 0.003795 0.005066 0.006926 0.010021
2025-08-24 0.001816 0.002281 0.002893 0.003783 0.005093 0.007035 0.010322
2025-08-31 0.001773 0.002237 0.002852 0.003752 0.005091 0.007099 0.010549
2025-09-07 0.001722 0.002181 0.002791 0.003692 0.005042 0.007087 0.010645
2025-09-14 0.001677 0.002131 0.002739 0.003642 0.005006 0.007093 0.010772
2025-09-21 0.001651 0.002107 0.002723 0.003644 0.005049 0.007225 0.011126